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Hey fight fans, weāve got a big one here. UFC 196 might have lost the champion versus champion match when Rafael Dos Anjos got hurt, but Nate Diaz taking on Conor McGregor is getting a ton of hype behind it. The fights kick off at 6:30 p.m. ET on Fight Pass, so letās dive into the predictions.
2016 Important Results:
Jessica: 42-32-2 (57 percent)
Burnsy: 35-27-1 (56 percent)
Ryan: 5-1 (83 percent)
Jason: 7-5 (58 percent)
Jackman: 7-5 (58 percent)
Enrique: 7-5 (58 percent)
Jamie: 3-3 (50 percent)
Justin: 11-1 (92 percent)
Marty: 4-5 (44 percent)
Jared: 6-6 (50 percent)
Parker: 3-4 (43 percent)
Dr. Vet: 19-4-2 (80 percent)
Note from Dr. Vet: For Cowboy vs. Cowboy two weeks ago, my four office cats went 10-1. Teeeeeeeeeeeen and ooooooone. I fear that they will soon form a collective and become something akin to the Borg.
āResistance is mew-tile.ā ā @sooziecuzie
This week, Iām going to do something similar, but inter-office bragging rights (and snacks) will be on the line. This week itās Abby, the Abyssinian Assassin vs. Frodo āWoofinā 25/8ā . Cat vs. Dog.
If you need a reminder of how I did this a few weeks ago ā I printed out the pictures from the official card page on UFC.com. Then, I put a small amount (roughly a quarter of a teaspoon for Abby, tablespoon for Frodo) of wet food above the head of each fighter, being sure to not cover any part of the body of the fighter in question. Last time, I put the picture on an elevated examination table. This time, I just put the picture on the floor and had them pick 6 fights each.
Featherweight ā Julian āJuicy Jā Erosa vs. Teruto āYashaboā Ishihara
Jessica: Half of Erosaās fights have been against Ryan Mulvihill and Drew Brokenshire. Ishiharaās losses have come against guys Iāve heard of, like Michinori Tanaka and Ulka Sasaki. Both dudes have reality show experience, with Julian racking up split decision wins before getting knocked out by Artem Lobov on TUF 22, while Ishihara went a more JMMA route, getting majority decisions and then drawing with Mizuto Hirota on the finals of the Road to UFC event. Iām going with Ishihara to take this by decision, mostly because Erosa doesnāt deserve the āJuicy Jā nickname.
Burnsy: I donāt like being one of those bros whoās like, āBro, thatās not very manly of you, bro.ā But Juicy J? Yeesh, bro. Yashabo wins just because.
Jared: Isnāt Erosa they guy who got KOād by Artem āLow Handsā Lobov on TUF?
(*goes a quick Google search*)
Yep, thatās him. Clearly, Erosaās 14-2 record is deceiving some of the bookies out there, so Iāll start things off by going against the grain and taking Ishihara to win.
Marty: All I can think of is that I vaguely remember Ishihara fighting to a draw in that competition final at the end of September, and everyone wondering why there wasnāt a sudden death fourth round. His first fight outside of Japan isnāt going to go so well, against a guy with six inches on him in height and reach. W: Erosa
Jamie: Um. Whodafugg? Ishihara is the ship from Dead Space, right? Yeah. Cool. Ishihara by tentacle-sodomy.
Dr. Vet: Picker: Abby
Pick: Ishihara
Lightweight ā Justin āJ-Bombā Salas vs. Jason Saggo
Jessica: Salas is a win one, lose one fighter in the UFC, and heās due for a win here. Who am I to stand in the way of fate? Iām apparently some kind of dumb jerk, because I have Saggo winning by third round TKO here.
Burnsy: Iāll take J-Bomb to win this one because he used my patented āCanāt think of a nickname? Just use your first letter and -bomb, and voila!ā nicknamification system.
Jared: Jesus, neither of these guys have fought in over 2 years. We should all get a win added to our records just for making a prediction in this fight.
(*flips coin*)
Saggo.
Marty: What, Iām supposed to remember what two guys that havenāt fought in over a year can do? Come on, Iāve got the memory of a goldfish over here. Screw it ā W: Saggo
Jamie: I am reasonably sure I have heard these names before, perhaps even in the context of fisticuffs. However, Iām just failing to recall anything worthwhile about either of these dudes. Iāll take Saggo by coin flip.
Dr. Vet: Picker: Frodo
Pick: Saggo
Lightweight ā Diego āThe Nightmareā Sanchez vs. Jim Miller
Jessica: Time for me to enter the Cry Zone. While itās true that TUF1 did get me (back) into MMA, it wasnāt Griffin versus Bonnar, it was Diego āThe Nightmareā Sanchez running through chumps on the weekly show. I remember catching episodes after Monday Night Raw (Remember when that was just two hours long?) and seeing this weird kid who tried to channel lighting into his body during storms who just took fools down, beat them up and then sunk in a rear naked choke. Diego got me hooked, and I was a fan of his from then on. Which is why this fight is gonna make me super sad. Thereās no way that Diegoās got It any more. He hasnāt had It for a few years, if weāre being honest, not at featherweight on up to welterweight. Diegoās last non-controversial win was probably back in 2011. Yeeesh. Millerās not as good as he used to be a few years back, when a win over him meant a title shot was right around the corner. Heās still plenty good enough to spill Diegoās blood. Miller wins a decision because it is scientifically proven that Diego Sanchez is too dumb to knock out.
Burnsy: An epic battle of two guys who have lost three of their last four. The UFC seriously needs to stop putting fights like this on any PPV card, even if itās going down in the free fights portion of the event. Nothing about this fight will make people tuning in for the first time say, āGee, if all fights are like this, count me in!ā Whatever, Sanchez will win by UD in the most boring fight of the night.
Jared: In order to find the last truly legitimate win of Diego Sanchezās career, you have to go all the way back to 2010, where he picked up a unanimous decision over Paulo Thiago at UFC 121. The rest has just been highly-depressing, one-sided beatdowns and gifted decisions, and even with that, Sanchez is still only 2-4 in his past 6. While Iām sure the UFC will continue giving Sanchez fights due to the āgolden boy clauseā that can be found in the contracts of every TUF 1 contestant, the man is running on little more than crazy these days. I like Miller to drop him early and possibly submit him.
Marty: The return of the Fight Pass Feature, and this oneās not bad at all. Granted, theyāre both 1-for-4 of late, but they put on entertaining fights, and theyāre about as hard-headed as youāll find. FotN contender right here (but wonāt be.) I think the originator of the YES! gets to do it again by decision. W: Sanchez
Jamie: Iām really not sure why, in 2016, Diego Sanchez is still in the UFC. But hereās the end of the road. Not even a damaged, shopworn, maybe broken-down Jim Miller could lose to Diego Sanchez. This will be brutal. This will be violent. This will be uncomfortable to watch. Women will sob. Men will hang their heads in shame. Diego Sanchez will not even look human at the end of this. Dana White will not be able to justify Diegoās continued MMA career. Iāve got Sanchez by split decision.
Dr. Vet: Picker: Abby
Pick: Sanchez
Featherweight ā Darren āThe Damageā Elkins vs. Chas āThe Scrapperā Skelly
Jessica: Two slender wrestle boys, gettin all shirtless and grabbing on each other. Are we sure this isnāt taking place in some creepy guyās apartment? Elkins has faced a better crop of competition, so of course heās got more losses in the UFC. I think Elkins has better wrestling, but I could see Skelly getting a submission during a scramble. This is a tough call for me, but Iām going with Elkins to eke out a decision here.
Burnsy: All right, Skelly time! Dude has won four in a row since losing in his UFC debut, and that includes a win over my guy Jim Alers, so I have to show the Scrapper some respect. Also, Scrapper? Thatās the most St. Louis Cardinals fighter nickname of all-time. Only āTrue Gritā or āThe Right Wayā could top it. Elkins is win one/lose one, too, and heās due for a loss, so all signs point to Skelly.
Jared: Darren Elkins may be the most athletically unimpressive fighter in the entire UFC (well, next to CM Punk-OH SNAP!!), but Iāll be damned if the guy doesnāt know how to grind his way to a victory most of the time. I donāt know a whole lot about Skelly, but he hasnāt faced the level of competition that Elkins has and I see him falling victim to that goofy f*ckerās grappling attack en route to a decision loss.
Marty: This one will be a good test for Skelly, riding a four-fight win streak, against #11, whoās coming up on the 6-year anniversary of his UFC debut. However, if Elkinsā recent outcomes follow its pattern, heās ending up on the wrong side here. Iāll go with it. W: Skelly
Jamie: Elkins is the new Fitch. God hates fun. Elkins by Godawful UD.
Dr. Vet: Picker: Frodo
Pick: Skelly
Middleweight ā Vitor āLex Luthorā Miranda vs. Marcelo āMagraoā Guimaraes
Jessica: Guimaraes dosenāt seem to fight a whole bunch. Heās only had three fights in the UFC and he joined back in 2012. Miranda is a dangerous puncher and only one of his wins went to the judges. Miranda is going to blast the heck out of Marceloās face meats and get a second round KO.
Burnsy: I wish Miranda was a few years younger, because this dude has me sort of hyped from his last two fights, as he won āem both by TKO. But at 36 he has me concerned about his ability to hang with the younger, up-and-comers. Good thing Magrao really doesnāt qualify there, because heās 32. I like the way Lex Luthor pummels dudes, so letās hope he scores the TKO turkey here.
Jared: Guimaraesā only wins in the UFC have come via split decision. One of those was over Dan Stittgen, aka the guy who got torched by āWonderboyā Thompson. The other was over Andy Enz, who is Andy Enz. Miranda takes this one with ease.
Marty: Why do I take a shine to a Brazilian when theyāre predominantly a striker? JDS on the brain? Vitor Miranda seems much more comfortable now that heās fighting at 185 where he belongs, instead of 40 pounds higher. Iām hoping for an exciting (T)KO here. Also, maybe Joe Rogan will have figured out how to say āGuimaraesā by this point. W: Miranda
Side note: I wonder if my pick has three friends namedā¦I canāt finish this joke.
Jamie: Iām a comic nerd. I canāt pick against Lex Luthor. Miranda by Kryptonite laser.
Dr. Vet: Picker: Abby
Pick: Miranda
Welterweight ā Erick āEl Indioā Silva vs. Nordine Taleb
Jessica: Is Taleb a wrestley-grapple man? I donāt think this is rhetorical, I honestly donāt know his general fighting style, but if he is, thereās a good chance he can stifle Silvaās offense and grind out a win. Oh, wait, he lost on two different seasons of The Ultimate Fighter, so he must be mocked. Silvaās going to beat the brakes off Taleb. Erick takes this with a first round KO.
Burnsy: Iām a little more interested in this fight than my colleague, J-Bomb, and I think this one is a sleeper for Fight of the Night. Silva loss by split to Neil Magny his last time out, so he gets serious respect for that, but what I like about him is that when he wins, he finishes. Taleb is a decision guy, though, which makes me think that Silvaās going to get him at some point, but heās going to have to work to get that win.
Jared: Against anyone but the divisionās elite, Erick Silva is nothing short of an eater of worlds. Seriously, the guy turned Takenori Sotoās head into a hacky sack, twisted Jason High into a pretzel, and ran roughshod over Josh Koscheck without breaking a sweat. Nordine Taleb is nowhere near being a member of the divisionās elite, so by the logic Iāve just laid before you, I see Silva styling on Taleb and finishing this early.
Marty: This one didnāt exactly jump off the page at me, which is probably why itās in the middle of the mid-card. Nordine Taleb is perfectly cromulent, I guess; at least Erick Silvaās fights are usually exciting one way or the other. What the hell, Iāll take exciting over cromulent. W: Silva
Jamie: I canāt stand picking Erick Silva fights, because EVERY MOTHERF*CKING TIME it seems like an easy straightforward pick where Silva is gonna unleash some comically fast violence on a poor soul, he shows up looking like he just spent a week sleeping in a room made entirely of HR Giger paintings. Having said this, Iām convincing myself that thereās no way that even living dead Silva is going to lose to Nordine frigginā Taleb, while at the same time Iām probably gonna scream when he inevitably chokes. Silva by explosive crazy violence, round 1.
Dr. Vet: Picker: Frodo
Pick: Taleb
Welterweight ā Brandon āRukusā Thatch vs. Siyar āThe Greatā Bahadurzada
Jessica: Holy sh*t, Siyar still exists? I feel like I havenāt seen him since 2012. After checking Fight Finder, I guess thatās because 2012 is the only time he won in the UFC, before dropping a pair of fights in 2013. Yeah, Iām taking RUKUS to do some handsome violence to Siyarās face, head, chest and torso region. Thatch ends this with a first round KO.
Burnsy: Despite both guys coming off two consecutive losses, I wonāt call this a pink slip fight. Both guys are quality fighters, so the loser will live to see another day. That will be Siyar, because Thatchās last two losses have been to Benson Henderson and my man Gunni Goddamned Nelson, and his win before that? KNEE TO THE BODY KO. Thatch is a bad boy and heās gonna lock up Performance of the Night in this one.
Jared: In a matchup between two promising prospects who have failed to deliver on the big stage for the most part, I gotta take the guy who has at least fought in the past 3 years. Thatch.
Marty: The FS1 feature is between a couple of guys that beat Paulo Thiago then dropped a pair, but Siyar the Great took 2 years off after his last loss. Man, 2 years. I wonder what he didā¦climb mountains? Attain inner peace? Reboot, heal up, and do stuff that would help after a fight career? Whatever he did, itās gonna work, because heās gonna show Thatch the pink slip door with his ground work. W: Bahadurzada
Jamie: BREAKING NEWS: SIYAR BAHADURZADA NOT ACTUALLY DEAD. Thatch, Round 1 sub.
Dr. Vet: Picker: Abby
Pick: Bahadurzada
Bantamweight ā Amanda āThe Lionessā Nunes vs. Valentina āBulletā Shevchenko
Jessica: Shevchenko looked very impressive in her short-notice UFC debut against Sarah Kaufman. Sheās got good kickboxing, and her only loss was back in 2010 to Liz Carmouche. Nunes, however, is super scary. Sheās like the female version of Vitor Belfort, in that her wins all come in the first round, and if an opponent can survive that initial onslaught, she doesnāt have much left to throw at you. I think Shevchenko will be able to avoid getting ker-blapped by Nunes in the first, and then sheāll just pick Amanda apart for the next two rounds. Shevchenko wins by third round TKO.
Burnsy: NOO-NEZ! NOO-NEZ! NOO-NEZ! My girl finishes her damn fights. She will finish this one and she will be in the title conversation.
Jared: Shevchenko is legit talent, but Nunes has the size, strength, and momentum as far as UFC wins go, so Iāll take her for the win.
Marty: I wanted to say I was really looking forward to this fight; maybe I will be by the intros. Itās not that Iām underwhelmed by Shevchenko, since she beat Sarah Kaufman in her short-notice UFC debut (by split dec.,) but the Lioness has destroyed everyone in the octagon save Alpha Cat. I donāt know about another ādestruction,ā but sheās getting the next non-Rowdy title shot. W: Nunes
Jamie: Nunes is, in my opinion, the hardest hitting woman in the UFC. However, sheās got the cardio of a heavyweight halfway up Everest. If she doesnāt finish this early, expect this to get ugly. Nunes by KO, round 1.
Justin: Both of these ladies are tough as fuck. Bullet Valentina is a Muay Thai killer that even has victories over our beloved Joanna. Sheās been thrown to the wolves quick and got that decision of Kaufman but I believe Amanda Nunes is an even bigger step-up in competition. The longer this fight goes, the worse it looks for Nunes. Iād say sheās strong enough to earn a victory within the first 2 rounds but Shevchenko has been through the wars and itās nothing new. Schevchenko by unanimous decision.
Dr. Vet: Picker: Frodo
Pick: Shevchenko
Light Heavyweight ā āFilthyā Tom Lawlor vs. Corey āBeastin 25/8ā Anderson
Jessica: Oh dang. Oh dang oh dang ohdang. I like Tom, but I just donāt know if anyone on the planet is capable of dealing with a man that has broken the laws of physics and spacetime and can Beast 25 Hours per Day, 8 Days per Week (I assume that with his increased Beastin abilities, Corey can Beast a full 13 months a year, which is impressive, since that lousy Smarch weather usually puts most people off their Beastin) Buuut, I donāt think overclocked Beastin is prepared to deal with someone as dirty as Filthy Tom. This is going to be a tough scrap, but I think Lawlor gets this with a third round TKO.
Burnsy: I donāt really know what to base this one on. Lawlor TKOād Gian Villante while Villante was the most embarrassing night of Andersonās young career. I have vowed to not take Anderson for granted anymore, though, especially because of his silly nickname, and despite my gut telling me to take Lawlor Iām gonna roll with Beastinā here.
Jared: Given their respective performances against Gian Villante, MMA math would dictate that the āFilthyā one should win this by TKO. But as we know, anyone who even brings up MMA math as a way of analyzing fights is a dense dullard with a probable drinking problem and serious mommy issues, so Iāll take Anderson.
Wait.
Marty: All I can think to say about this is: I want pro graps fans to win in UFC, so Ariel Helwani talking about the slow heel turn works fine for me. Oh, and being back at 205 will probably do just fine for him. W: Lawlor
Jamie: The Notorious Tom McLawlor is a national treasure, and if you donāt love him youāre a terrible person. Tom Lawlor by super-boring UD.
Justin: I love Tom Lawlor but how often is he Beastinā? I donāt think itās 25/8. Iām pretty sure itās not even 24/7. In fact, Lawlor has been pretty wishy-washy in his last fights. Of course, the ācrafty veteranā (goddamn we love saying that all the time) could definitely pull off the win. He KOed the guy that KOed Anderson after all, but I just think theyāll be too much Beastinā going on. Iām saying we get the UD for Anderson or a surprise late round KO.
Dr. Vet: Picker: Abby
Pick: Anderson
Light Heavyweight ā Gian Villante vs. Ilir āThe Sledgehammerā Latifi
Jessica: If this was the rap world, Iād call this the Weed Carriers Invitational. Weāve got two lackeys here, Gian for Chris Weidman and Ilir for Alex Gustafsson, and I donāt really care who wins, I just want to see the two Big Dawgs duke it out next. That being said, Iām taking Latifi, because that dude can friggin PAWNCH. Latifi wins by first round megaton KO and then engages in some romantic horse riding on the beach.
Burnsy: This could be a really good one, which would make it a really quick one, or it could be a lazy dud. Iām going with a quick one, as Latifi will turn Villanteās lights off in the first round.
Jared: Despite being a decent puncher in his own right, Villante is just way too hittable, (especially as the fight progresses) and Latifi throws bricks. Iāll take āThe Sledgehammerā by TKO.
Marty: On a relatively quick turnaround of seven weeks, Latifiās going to use his overhand right and stone head to take out Villante. At the very least, heāll put up more of a fight than a 40-something Aussie. W: Latifi
Jamie: Jesus, this fight. Somehow, this is happening. It is the most brutal indictment of the 205-pound weight class that I can think of to say that Gian Villante is somehow on a UFC pay-per-view main card. Latifiās not that good (Iām bracing for the wave of comments about UNBEATABLE UFC CHAMPION ILIR THA KILIR, GAWD OF THE LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHTS) but heās more than talented enough to wreck Villanteās face. Latifi by KO, round 2.
Justin: Illir Latifi posted a picture riding shirtless on horseback like Putin. (can we post that here?) (Editorās Note: Yeah boyee) Therefore, I must not pick against him. Besides, Lawlor KOed Villante. Latifi by mascule, MMA Math KO in Round 2
Dr. Vet: Picker: Frodo
Pick: Villante
Bantamweight Title ā Holly āThe Preacherās Daughterā Holm vs. Miesha āCupcakeā Tate
Jessica: Iām not trying to launch myself at supersonic speeds at the Holly Holm bandwagon, but sheās got this. Iām starting to believe more and more that her early UFC fights were in first or second gear, and then she kicked it into fourth against Ronda. Mieshaās smart and wonāt just bullrush in, so I donāt think Holly will do as much damage as quickly, but I still see Holm winning this. Itās going to take a lot of circling and stuffed take downs, but much like Tateās second ever fight against Kaitlin Young, Holm wins with a headkick knockout. Letās say in the third round.
Burnsy: Iām still tired of Tate as a championship contender. She hasnāt done a single thing that has made me say, āDamn, that fighter deserves another shot.ā Sheās won four in a row, sure, but do you remember a single moment from those fights? No, because they were all unspectacular decisions. She went two-and-change with Ronda Rousey, but she still lost. And yet all this time she sits there like the Diaz sister, yapping her mouth about why she should be getting a title shot. I respect that, because top level charisma is in short supply in the UFC right now, but sheās not a serious contender. You know who Miesha Tate is? Sheās Chael Sonnen. Sheāll always be in the conversation because she knows how to get into the conversation. So, that all said, can she do what Holly Holm did and learn the weaknesses that sheāll need to exploit to do the unthinkable and ruin the Holm-Rousey rematch like she claims sheāll do? I doubt it, because again, sheās never proven that sheās an elite level fighter. So Iām taking Holm because I think sheās obviously the better fighter, but Iām also picking Holm because it would be a shame for Tate to win the belt and then lose it to Rousey in three months. We deserve Holm-Rousey 2 and not Rousey-Tate 3.
Jared: Iām not entirely sure what skills Miesha Tate possess that makes her a nightmare for Holm, as some have suggested, but the woman does find a way to win against anyone not named Ronda Rousey. Unfortunately, Tate was also flash-KOād by Sara McMann, who has approximately 1/10th of the striking prowess of Holm, which says more to me about this fight than anything. Holm is gonna touch Tate early and often and set up that Rousey rematch that may or may not ever actually happen.
Marty: I want this to be a good fight. I really, really do. I mean, itāll be entertaining for sure, but I want it to be competitive. I just donāt know how competitive itāll be. No, you know what, I shouldnāt say that. Tate is definitely a better striker than a misguided Ronda Rousey, but sheās certainly not as good of a grappler. The best plan to knock off a striker is to take them to the mat, but if a champion judoka couldnāt do much with Holly down there, what hope does Miesha have? She loses the reach comparison, so I would think the champ would be able to pick her apart rather efficiently. This might go longer than six minutes for Holm, but sheās still getting the finish and retention. W: Holm
Oh, and read Jessicaās Keys to Victory. The last line in that paragraph killed me. Dead. (Editorās Note: THE ANTIDOTE SHALL BE DELIVERED TO YOU POST HASTE, THANK YOU FOR YOUR COOPERATION)
Jamie: Holly Holmās striking is hideously overrated, which is to say that itās still miles ahead of the rest of the division. Miesha is going to surprise some people and turn this into an honest-to-God fight, but sheās just not good enough to keep up with Holly for the full five rounds, and when she screws up, Holly will capitalize on it. Holm by round 4 KO
Justin: Holly Holm, the best womenās fighter in Earthrealm, has what it takes to cement herself in this fight. ā¦Until she wins and then everyone clamors for a rematch with Ronda Rousey even though I find it completely unnecessary. Miesha Tate is no joke and will not bull rush Holm running straight into her strikes. However, I feel like Holmās movement will stifle Tate and Holm will be able to get off her strikes and make it a long night for Tate. Holm could also find a home to land a sick headkick to put Tate (look up Tate taking headkicks) away if Tate loses composure. Holm by unanimous decision.
Dr. Vet: Picker: Abby
Pick: Tate
Welterweight ā āThe Notoriousā Conor McGregor vs. Nate Diaz
Jessica: Are you kidding me? This is the fight that gets made to save the show? Nateās 2-3 in his last five, and Iām pretty sure I wasnāt the only one expecting him to look like utter dogsh*t against Johnson in December based of his performance against RDA in 2014. Now heās coming in off basically no camp and itās gotta be at welterweight because I doubt that Diaz is in any kind of fight-ready shape. Conor might be stymied a bit by Nateās longer reach and high volume, but he also wonāt stand flat-footed and let Diaz just tee off on him. Diaz is a tough guy to stop, but Conor hits really friggin hard, and I think heāll accumulate a ton of damage. Iām not really happy about any of this, but Iāll say Conor takes a third round TKO.
Burnsy: Nate looked like the most diabolically cranial fighter in the world in his victory over Michael Johnson. That was just one of the best under-his-skin fights Iāve ever watched, because Johnson had nothing for him, and it was hard to watch him sinking in quicksand. Nateās last win before that was a first round TKO of Gray Maynard, who, letās face it, is a Glass Joe at this point in his career. Other than that, Diaz hasnāt done much to deserve our faith. And yet⦠Iām picking Diaz. I love Conor McGregor, and I donāt get why UFC fans donāt like him when he is everything the company and sport have needed for years ā a brash, ballsy, arrogant, flamboyant, sh*t-talking superstar who does not lose ā and wants to win every belt in his prime. But Iām getting that feeling that I got before Rousey lost, when I wanted to pick Holm but stuck with Rousey because she doesnāt lose. I want McGregor to win and expect him to, but I am a pessimist and fear the end of all good things. So, prove me wrong, Notorious One, but I think Diaz wins this one and keeps stirring the pot.
Jared: OK, can we all just agree that the youngest Diaz is being āhugelyā undervalued in this fight? Short notice or not, Diaz has the reach, the size, and most importantly, the submission skills to tap damn near anyone. The question is whether he will actually attempt to get the fight to the ground or whether his pride force him into a standup battle with McGregor. According to literally everything we know about the Diazās, the answer to that is a firm āf*ck yesā for the latter. At this point, McGregor is a force of pure will, and I donāt see Nate being the man that stops him.
Marty: The featherweight (145) champ against the fifth-ranked lightweight (155) in a short-notice welterweight (170) fight, but Conor knows how to promote and Nate knows how to cuss and flip birds. Iām trying to look at this logically, but somethingās trying to get me to throw that out the window.
Nateās fighting at 170, which he can hit more easily, and he just picked apart Michael Johnson in December, but this is on short notice, and despite having a weight advantage, his opponent didnāt have to cut at all. Hard head, great striking, and a ground game to go with it. Cocky, mouthy, and will slap you in the face if you let him (and even if you donāt.)
Conor fighting at welterweight ā weighing in at 168, even ā is the healthiest youāll even see him in the cage; thatās what happens when you donāt have to cut anything at all. For once, he has to fight someone noticeably bigger than him, but that doesnāt have to mean anything. As he said after beating Jose Aldo, āprecision beats power, and timing beats speed.ā I donāt think Conorās psych-out tactics will work very well on Diaz or vice versa, but if Diaz isnāt sharp, Conorās quote will be accurate again.
I think the key here, as was the case against Chad Mendes, is whether McGregor can keep this fight standing. Against Mendes, he had a bit of trouble on the mat, but no camp gassed Mendes quickly. Diaz didnāt have a camp either, but having the weight advantage should help him keep McGregor down. On the other hand, Conor is at full power with no weight cut, so thereās probably no chance he gets tired late, should it get there. You know, provided he isnāt getting pummeled the whole time.
Gee whiz, which way to go? W: McGregor
Jamie: This is actually a fantastic bit of last-minute matchmaking. Letās get the obvious out of the way here. Yes, Conor and his pool noodles are going to play touch-butt all over Nateās face. Provided Conor doesnāt do something incredibly stupid, this is entirely his fight. At the same time, I know a few friends of mine have put some money down on Nate by sub, thinking that itās his only way of winning, and itās entirely within the realm of possibility. Iām not confident in this enough to put money on it, but thereās certainly an argument to be made for Nate by sub. That being said,.itās not gonna happen. McGregor by round one KO.
Justin: I actually think this Conor McGregorās biggest fight yet. McGregor has made a career out saying āI told you soā. Each time he proves us all liars as we tell him what he canāt do and he fucking goes out there and does it. Well, this time, McGregor has leaped straight off the deep end and is up two weight classes from home and he is driving through Stockton in a Royce that doesnāt belong. While this isnāt the title fight, this fight will still answer so many questions: How does McGregorās sniper left leveled up with a 90% critical hit fair at a higher weight? What happens when McGregorās psychological warfare and whiskey-tinged tongue goes up against a graffiti-covered brick wall? Obviously Diaz has the advantage on the ground, but mostly only uses it when people try to bail out from being overwhelmed by his punches. The fact is, Diaz is going to stand and trade with the Irishman and one person is going to fall. Diaz is crazy durable, but also hittable. I feel that, even with the tall, lankiness of Diaz and the 2ā² reach advantage, that McGregor will find his target and give Diaz his 2nd KO of his career. McGregor by KO in Round 3.
Dr. Vet: Picker: Frodo
Pick: McGregor, TKO (Hound in Pound)
Performance of the Night
Jessica: Rukus, Silva
Burnsy: Thatch, Diaz
Marty: Holm, Nunes
Fight of the Night
Jessica: Sanchez vs. Miller
Burnsy: McGregor vs. Diaz
Marty: McGregor vs Diaz